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Fed Relies on Forward Guidance – Keeps a “Wait and See” Message

December 16, 2020

The Federal Reserve convened this week for its last meeting in 2020. The Fed didn’t make any significant changes to its policy and provided accommodating forward guidance and some clarity on its asset purchase program. The Fed expects to purchase…

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Oil remains stable (for now) despite high uncertainty in the horizon

July 30, 2020

Since the negative rates of April, the oil market has partly recovered and settled around $40. The ongoing high uncertainty over demand, along with the changes in production in non-OPEC and OPEC countries, haven’t moved oil from its $40 mark…

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Spain’s Economic Woes Could Be Worse Than Currently Projected: Its GDP Could Fall by 20% This Year

April 26, 2020

In a recent report, the IMF predicted Spain’s GDP could contract by 8% in 2020; the Bank of Spain estimates this year’s decline could reach 12.4% if the lockdown lasts 12 weeks (for now, the lockdown is expected to last…

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Stocks rises are mostly Fed-fueled but this is not QE –MM #189

February 19, 2020

Stocks continue rising and ignoring depressing news. The Federal Reserve is the primary driver. We explain what the Fed is doing, why it is not QE and what’s next for stocks. A quick history for Fed action: The Federal Reserve…

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Is Europe dragging the global economy down? A virtual tour of the world — MM #188

January 14, 2020

After a hiatus, Lior Cohen and Yohay Elam return with a virtual tour around the world, kicking off in Germany and encompassing the globe. What’s next for Europe, the US, and the central bank policy? Germany in manufacturing recession: The…

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Powell Maintains A Dovish Stance, As The Fed Remains In The Sidelines

December 13, 2019

Unlike last year’s contentious FOMC meeting in December, this year’s rate decision was uneventful, as the Federal Reserve kept rates, as markets expected, unchanged. Looking forward, the Fed’s dot plot points towards no change in interest rates in 2020 and…

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