During last week, there were some reports that may have affected forex and commodities prices: the U.S non-farm payroll report showed a gain of 114k in jobs during September; U.S manufacturing PMI index rose to 51.5%. These reports may have affected the financial markets. There are still speculations regarding the future developments in Spain and Greece, perhaps the upcoming Euro council meeting and G7 summit could shed some light on these issues. There are several important publications, speeches and events that may affect the financial markets during this week. These include: U.S producer price index, FOMC members’ speeches, American and Canadian trade balance, Australia’s employment report, Euro-Council summit, IMF meeting, OPEC’s oil report, ECB President speaks, China’s new loans, Japan current account and U.S. jobless claims. Here is an economic news calendar outlook for October 8th to October 12th regarding the U.S., GB, Japan, China, Australia, EU, and Canada.
(All times GMT):
Monday, October 8th
All Day – Eurogroup Meeting: The Eurogroup Meeting will be held in Brussels and the EU ministers of finance will meet and converse about the recent political and monetary changes in Europe;
11:00– German Industrial Production: This report will present the developments in the industrial production of the German for August; in the previous report the German industrial production rose by 1.3% (M-O-M) during July;
00:30 – Japan Current Account: this report will show the changes in the difference between exports and imports for Japan during last month; this news may affect the strength of the Japanese Yen;
Tuesday, October 9th
08:30 – ECB President Speaks: Mario Draghi will talk in Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament, in Brussels. In his speech he might refer to the future monetary steps the ECB. This speech might affect the Euro to US dollar exchange rate;
09:30 – Great Britain Manufacturing Production: this report will present the yearly rate of GB’s manufacturing production for August; in the last report regarding July the index rose by 3.2% (M-2-M); this news may affect the British Pound;
Wednesday, October 10th
All Day – European Council Meeting: In the European Council Meeting the EU ministers of finance will meet and talk about the recent monetary developments in Europe;
05:00 – SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks: Swiss National Bank President will give a speech. This speech might affect the Swiss franc currency;
Tentative – China New Loans: This report will report the recent changes in China’s new loans given during the recent month. According to the last report, the total loans increased as the People Bank of China BOC had cut the interest rate and eased the restrictions on commercial banks regarding new loans; this report is another indicator for the economic progress of China;
15:30 – U.S Crude Oil Stockpiles Report: the EIA (Energy Information Administration) will publish its weekly update on the U.S oil and petroleum stockpiles for the week ending on October 5th; in the recent weekly update for September 28th, stockpiles fell again by 2.4 million bl to 1,796 million bl;
18:00 – U.S 10 Year Bond Auction: the U.S government will issue another bond auction; in the recent bond auction, which was held at the second week of September, the average rate reached 1.76%;
00:50 –Minutes of the recent Japanese monetary policy meeting: Following last week’s BOJ monetary policy meeting – the Bank members decided to leave the interest rate at 0 to 0.1 percent and didn’t expand its stimulus– the Bank of Japan will publish the minutes of last week’s meeting. The minutes may offer some insight behind the Bank’s latest decision that could affect the Japanese yen and consequently commodities prices;
02:30 – Australia Employment Report: in the recent report regarding August 2012 the rate of unemployment edged down to 5.1%; the number of employed (seasonally adjusted) slightly fell by 8,800 people; the number of unemployed decreased by 10,600 during August compared with July‘s numbers. This report could affect the Australian dollar (see here the recent report);
Tentative –OPEC Monthly Report: this report will show the main developments in crude oil and natural gas’s supply and demand worldwide; the report will also refer to the developments in the production of OPEC countries during September 2012; this news may affect oil prices (See here a summary of the previous report);
Thursday, October 11th
All Day – G7 Summit: the G7 Summit will be held in Tokyo in which the ministers of finance of the G7 will talk about the recent financial developments in the leading economies. In the Summit the ministers may talk about the “fiscal cliff” in the U.S and the European debt crisis. If there will be big headlines from this Summit it may have some effect on the financial markets;
All Day – IMF Meetings: the IMF Meeting will span over three days;
13:30 –Canadian Trade Balance: In the recent report regarding July 2012, exports fell by 3.4% and imports declined by 2.2%; as a result, the trade deficit expanded from a $1.9 billion deficit in June to $2.3 billion deficit in July; this report may affect the Canadian dollar which tends to be strongly correlated with prices of commodities;
13:30 –American Trade Balance: This monthly report for August 2012 will show the recent changes in imports and exports of goods and services to and from the U.S, including commodities such as oil, natural gas and gold; according to the recent American trade balance report regarding July 2012 the goods and services deficit edged up during the month to $42 billion;
13:30 – U.S. Jobless Claims Weekly Report: this report will refer to the weekly shifts in the initial jobless claims for the week ending on September 28th; in the latest report the jobless claims rose by 4k to 367,000; this upcoming weekly report may affect the U.S dollar and consequently the prices of commodities;
15:00 – FOMC member Stein Speaks: The title of the speech is “Evaluating Large-Scale Asset Purchases “;
15:30 – EIA U.S. Natural Gas Storage Update: the EIA weekly update of the U.S. natural gas market will pertain to the latest news in natural gas production, storage, consumption and rates as of October 5th; in the previous weekly update, natural gas storage increased by 77 Bcf to 3,653 Bcf;
19:00 –U.S. Federal Budget Balance: this upcoming publication will present the changes in the U.S federal balance for September 2012; this report indicates the government debt growth and thus may affect the U.S dollar. In the recent report regarding August the deficit rose by $190 billion to a deficit of $1,164 billion for the fiscal year of 2012; this is a decrease of 5% compared to 2011;
Friday, October 12th
10:00– Euro Area Industrial Production: This report will present the changes in the industrial production of the EU for August; in the recent report the EU industrial production rose by 0.6% (M-O-M) during July;
13:30 – U.S. Producer Price Index: This report will show the progress in the PPI during September 2012, i.e. the inflation rate from the producers’ stand point. In the recent report regarding August this index for finished goods hiked by 1.7% compared with July’s rate and rose by 0.5% in the last 12 months; this news might affect commodities prices;
14:55 – UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary): University of Michigan will issue its preliminary consumer sentiment report; this survey could offer another insight to recent developments in U.S consumers sentiment about the economy; last time the sentiment index increased again to 79.2;
17:35 – FOMC member Lacker’s Speech: The title of the speech is “Challenges to Economic Growth“;
Tentative –IEA Monthly Oil Report: this upcoming monthly update will present an updated (as of September) outlook and analysis for the global crude oil and natural gas market for 2012 and 2013;
Saturday, October 13th
Tentative –China’s Trade Balance: according to the recent monthly report, China’s trade balance rose to a $26.7 billion surplus; if the surplus will further expand, it could indicate that China’s economic growth is rising and thus may positively affect prices of commodities.
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