In a recent report, the IMF predicted Spain’s GDP could contract by 8% in 2020; the Bank of Spain estimates this year’s decline could reach 12.4% if the lockdown lasts 12 weeks (for now, the lockdown is expected to last…
The Federal Reserve recent monetary policy meeting ended, as expected, with no rate cuts, but it moved a bit towards considering lowering rates. Despite the dovish rhetoric from Chair Jerome Powell, the Fed’s signal to lower rates in the dot…
The inversion of the yield curve has raised concerns in the media over the possibility of a recession in the next 12 to 18 months. Considering the inversion has been a reliable indicator during the past 40 years, it could…
Everybody is talking about the global slowdown. Central banks all over the world have responded, but also governments need to do something. Are they doing enough? You are welcome to listen, subscribe, provide feedback and pledge support on Patreon. US: The…
After a dark December, markets have become calm and optimistic about everything. Is this positive sentiment justified? We examine the three key topics: the Fed, Brexit, and China’s economy. Fed: Markets have discounted a rate hike this year and even…
The short answer – it’s a wash, but it’s also complicated. This question has become more critical as the U.S. economy has been expanding its oil production in a couple of years. Currently, the U.S. produces more than 11.5 million…
J. Powell, the Fed’s Chairman, faces a problem; perhaps the biggest challenge in his tenor so far. The financial markets – mainly equities in the U.S. – have signaled that they cannot and won’t stand another rate hike. Over the…
The Bank of Israel (BOI) surprised the markets on November 26th by raising its cash rate for the first time in over seven years. The BOI raised rates by 0.15 percentage point – to 0.25%. This “lift-off” — although at this point it’s…
US stocks are falling from the highs and are officially in correction territory. But are the bears in full control? We analyze the reasons for the drop and argue about the next moves before providing an update on Brexit. What’s…
IS the Fed’s policy hawkish or dovish? We dive into the US economy and the central bank’s policy which impacts global markets and then move to oil prices. You are welcome to listen, subscribe, provide feedback and pledge support on Patreon.…