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Spain’s Economic Woes Could Be Worse Than Currently Projected: Its GDP Could Fall by 20% This Year

April 26, 2020

In a recent report, the IMF predicted Spain’s GDP could contract by 8% in 2020; the Bank of Spain estimates this year’s decline could reach 12.4% if the lockdown lasts 12 weeks (for now, the lockdown is expected to last…

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Stocks rises are mostly Fed-fueled but this is not QE –MM #189

February 19, 2020

Stocks continue rising and ignoring depressing news. The Federal Reserve is the primary driver. We explain what the Fed is doing, why it is not QE and what’s next for stocks. A quick history for Fed action: The Federal Reserve…

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Is Europe dragging the global economy down? A virtual tour of the world — MM #188

January 14, 2020

After a hiatus, Lior Cohen and Yohay Elam return with a virtual tour around the world, kicking off in Germany and encompassing the globe. What’s next for Europe, the US, and the central bank policy? Germany in manufacturing recession: The…

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Powell Maintains A Dovish Stance, As The Fed Remains In The Sidelines

December 13, 2019

Unlike last year’s contentious FOMC meeting in December, this year’s rate decision was uneventful, as the Federal Reserve kept rates, as markets expected, unchanged. Looking forward, the Fed’s dot plot points towards no change in interest rates in 2020 and…

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The Donald Vs. Powell – When the Federal Reserve Is Politicized, Markets Worry

August 2, 2019

The Federal Reserve, as expected, lowered interest rates by 25bp to a range of 2% to 2.25%. One thing is emerging from Jay Powell, Fed’s Chair, and his way of conducting monetary policy – he doesn’t like to surprise the…

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The Fed Keeps The Market Hoping For a Rate Cut That Might Not Arrive Soon

June 20, 2019

The Federal Reserve recent monetary policy meeting ended, as expected, with no rate cuts, but it moved a bit towards considering lowering rates. Despite the dovish rhetoric from Chair Jerome Powell, the Fed’s signal to lower rates in the dot…

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